Forecast

MonitorDaily – News ATA Report Sees Trucking Gains Through 2023

Published July 9, 2012
Categories: Trucking1

After a significant dip during the Great Recession, and a mild economic recovery, the U.S. freight economy, particularly for trucking, is projected to grow significantly in the years ahead, according to American Trucking Associations U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2023.

The Forecast, a product of collaboration between ATA, IHS Global Insight and Martin Labbe Associates, lays out the current state of the freight economy where trucking is the leading mode of transportation and projects an even more robust role for trucks in the future.

The trucking industry continues to dominate the freight transportation industry in terms of both tonnage and revenue, comprising 67% of tonnage and 81% of revenue in 2011, ATA chief economist Bob Costello wrote in this year s forecast.

Overall, total freight tonnage is expected to grow by 21% by 2023, and revenue for the freight transportation industry is projected to rise 59% in that same timeframe. Trucking s share of the tonnage market will rise over two percentage points to 69.6% by 2023, while the industry s share of freight revenues will increase to 81.7% from 80.9%.

In other surface modes, rail s overall share of tonnage will fall to 15% in 2023 from 15.7% in the baseline year of 2011. However, intermodal tonnage will rise 6.2% a year between 2012 and 2017, and then 5.4% annually through 2023.

Domestic waterborne tonnage will show very modest growth between now and 2023 growing 1% annually through 2023. Domestic airfreight tonnage is slated to grow over 4% annually during the forecast period.

For anyone that purchases the Forecast, Costello will be giving an hour-long webinar on July 31 at 2pm EDT regarding the latest findings of the report. If the report is purchased after the webinar or purchasers can t make that time, the webinar will be available for viewing throughout the year.

The ATA U.S. Freight Transportation Forecast to 2023 can be purchased as a bound volume, a CD or a downloadable PDF at www.atabusinesssolutions.com or by calling 1-866-821-3468.

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References

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Poland Freight Transport Report Q3 2012 by Business Monitor …

Executive Summary . 5
SWOT Analysis 7
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Philippines Political SWOT … 8
Philippines Economic SWOT . 9
Philippines Business Environment SWOT 10
Real Estate Market Overview 11
Economy .. 11
Real Estate … 11
REITs … 12
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Construction 13
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Real Estate Market Analysis – Office … 16
Supply And Demand . 16
Rents And Yields .. 17
Table: Historic Office Rents, 2010-2011 (PHP per m2/month) 18
Table: Net Office Yields, 2010-2012 18
Table: Terms of Office Rental Contract/Lease, Mid 2011 18
Industry Forecast Scenario … 19
Table: Forecast Office Rents, 2012 (PHP per m2/month) 19
Table: Forecast Net Office Yields, 2008-2016 . 19
Real Estate Market Analysis – Retail … 20
Supply And Demand . 20
Rents And Yields .. 20
Table: Historic Retail Rents, 2010-2011 (PHP per m2/month) 21
Table: Net Retail Yields, 2010-2012 21
Table: Terms of Retail Rental Contract/Lease, Mid 2011 21
Industry Forecast Scenario … 22
Table: Forecast Retail Rents, 2012 (PHP per m2/month). 22
Table: Forecast Net Retail Yields, 2008-2016 . 22
Real Estate Market Analysis – Industrial. 23
Supply And Demand . 23
Rents And Yields .. 23
Table: Historic Industrial Rents, 2010-2011 (PHP per m2/month) .. 23
Table: Net Industrial Yields, 2010-2012 .. 24
Table: Terms of Industrial Rental Contract/Lease, Mid 2011 .. 24
Industry Forecast Scenario … 25
Table: Forecast Industrial Rents, 2012 (PHP per m2/month) .. 25
Table: Forecast Net Industrial Yields, 2008-2016 … 25
Forecast Scenarios 26
Infrastructure Report 26
Table: Philippines Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 26
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Macroeconomic Outlook … 31
Table: Philippines – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 . 34
Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings 35
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Table: Real Estate/Construction Risk/Reward Ratings 35
Philippines’ Business Environment … 35
Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings … 36
Institutions … 37
Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating .. 38
Infrastructure … 40
Table: Labour Force Quality … 42
Market Orientation .. 43
Table: Asia, Annual FDI Inflows, 2006-2008 .. 44
Table: Trade And Investment Ratings .. 45
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Competitive Landscape 49
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EEI Corporation .. 53
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Robinsons Land Corporation … 58
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Table: Philippines” Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (”000) 64
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Table: Philippines” Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 66
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BMI Methodology … 67
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Sources 72Table: Historic Office Rents, 2010-2011 (PHP per m2/month) . 18

Table: Net Office Yields, 2010-2012 . 18

Table: Terms of Office Rental Contract/Lease, Mid 2011 . 18

Table: Forecast Office Rents, 2012 (PHP per m2/month) . 19

Table: Forecast Net Office Yields, 2008-2016 . 19

Table: Historic Retail Rents, 2010-2011 (PHP per m2/month) . 21

Table: Net Retail Yields, 2010-2012 . 21

Table: Terms of Retail Rental Contract/Lease, Mid 2011 . 21

Table: Forecast Retail Rents, 2012 (PHP per m2/month). 22

Table: Forecast Net Retail Yields, 2008-2016 . 22

Table: Historic Industrial Rents, 2010-2011 (PHP per m2/month) . 23

Table: Net Industrial Yields, 2010-2012 . 24

Table: Terms of Industrial Rental Contract/Lease, Mid 2011 . 24

Table: Forecast Industrial Rents, 2012 (PHP per m2/month) . 25

Table: Forecast Net Industrial Yields, 2008-2016 . 25

Table: Philippines Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 26

Table: Philippines Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data . 27

Table: Philippines – Economic Activity, 2011-2016 . 34

Table: Real Estate/Construction Risk/Reward Ratings . 35

Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings . 36

Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating . 38

Table: Labour Force Quality . 42

Table: Asia, Annual FDI Inflows, 2006-2008 . 44

Table: Trade And Investment Ratings . 45

Table: Top Export Destinations, 2002-2009 . 46

Table: Philippines” Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (”000) . 64

Table: Philippines” Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 65

Table: Philippines” Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020. 66

Table: Philippines” Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 66

Table: Weighting Of Indicators. 70

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